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May 8, 2026

Kidney function and risk of heart failure in older adults

findings from a prospective cohort study

Buyadaa, O., Wolfe et al. - Heart

A prospective cohort analysis nested in the ASPREE trial and its extension study (17,834 older adults) examined whether elevated urine albumin-creatinine ratio (UACR) or reduced eGFR predicted heart failure hospitalisation or death. Over a median 8.6-year follow-up, 354 (1.98%) had a first HF hospitalisation and 147 (0.82%) died from HF. Albuminuria (UACR ≥3.0 mg/mmol; 11.3% of the cohort) was associated with higher risk of HF events. Routine kidney screening in primary care looks valuable for cardiovascular risk stratification in older adults.

Summary

Background

We examined whether impaired kidney function, identified through elevated levels of urine albumin to creatinine ratio (UACR) or reduced estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), is associated with hospitalisation or death due to heart failure (HF) in a large community-based cohort of older adults.

Methods

We included 17 834 participants from the ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) clinical trial and follow-up ASPREE eXTension observational study with complete baseline data on albuminuria and eGFR. HRs for hospitalisation due to HF (HHF), HF death, a composite outcome of HHF and HF death, and HF re-admission were calculated using Cox models adjusting for potential confounders.

Results

Over a median follow-up of 8.6 years, 354 (1.98%) participants had a first hospitalisation for HF and 147 (0.82%) died due to HF. Participants with albuminuria (UACR ≥3.0 mg/mmol; 11.3%) had higher risk